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Ice thoughts NHL Season Primer: 27th Toronto Maple Leafs

27TH IN NHL - 8TH IN ATLANTIC- 15TH IN EAST

WHY?

The Toronto Maples Leafs are good! Well not quite yet. In my last post about the Arizona Coyotes, I outlined how the Coyotes are going through a youth transition period - and so are the Leafs. Ever since the team's upper management changed hands from Brian Burke, Dave Nonis and Randy Carlyle to the Brendan Shanahan (team president), Lou Lamoriello (general manager) and Mike Babcock (head coach), Toronto is sure to improve over the next few seasons. This process will take time, but for the time being, the the Leafs will be playing an improved style of hockey - and hockey that is much more visually appealing to watch.

At the end of last season, the Leafs finished dead last in the National Hockey League standings, but were fortunate enough to land an elite franchise centre when they drafted Auston Matthews with the first overall pick at the draft back in June. Matthews is a big centre, that skates extremely well and possesses an NHL-caliber shot at just 18-years-old - so he should bring a lot to the table and will change the outlook of the Leafs centre-ice position. The team also has some other prospects who will likely get a chance at a roster spot. Prospects such as Mitch Marner and William Nylander could make them team, but will have increased roles than management would have wanted for them this early in their career. All that said, the youth movement in Toronto could go both ways this season. It could either be very beneficial, and help the team improve on their dead last finish last year, or it could see the team stay neutral and remain a bottom-feeder team.

Here's a look at some of the moves the team made this summer along with what they did at the 2016 NHL Entry Draft.

 

OFFSEASON MOVES

Free Agency

G - Frederik Andersen (RFA, 5 years, $25M, $5M AAV)

LW - Matt Martin (UFA, 4years, $10M, $2.5M AAV)

D - Roman Polak (UFA, 1 year, $2.25M, $2.25M AAV)

RW - Josh Leivo (Re-signing, RFA, 2 years, $1.25M, $612,500K AAV)

RW - Peter Holland (Re-signing, RFA, 1 year, $1.3M, $1.3M AAV)

D - Martin Marincin (Re-signing, RFA, 1 year, $2.5M, $1.25M AAV)

D - Jhonas Enroth (UFA, 1 year, $750K, $750K AAV)

Draft

1st overall - C - Auston Matthews, Zurich SC, NLA

31st overall - RW- Yegor Korshkov, Yaroslavl Lokomotiv, KHL

57th overall - RW - Caarl Grundstrom, MODO Hockey Ornskoldsvik, SHL

62nd overall - G - Joseph Woll, U.S National Development Team, USHL

72nd overall - D - J.D Greenway, U.S National Development Team, USHL

92nd overall - C - Adam Brooks, Regina Pats, WHL

101st overall - D - Keaton Middelton, Saginaw Spirit, OHL

122nd overall - LW - Vladimir Bobylev, Victoria Royals, WHL

152nd overall - D - Jack Walker, Victoria Royals, WHL

179th overall - D - Nicholas Mattinen, London Knights, OHL

182nd overall - LW - Nikolai Chebykin, MVD Jrs, MHL

Trades

Toronto Maple Leafs acquired G Frederick Andereni from the Anaheim Ducks for 2016 1st round pick (Sam Steel) and a 2017 2nd-round pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs acquired LW Kerby Rychel from the Columbus Blue Jackets for D Scott Harrington and a conditional 5th round pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs acquired a 2017 conditional pick from the Anaheim Ducks for G Jonathan Bernier.

 

OUTLOOK

Earlier this summer, the Leafs made plead their case to try lure then Tampa Bay Lightning free agent, Steven Stamkos. Stamkos was a very attractive free agent to the Leafs for various reasons - the main one being he's a two-time 50 goal-scorer from the Toronto area. At the time, most of the hockey world saw the Leafs as the frontrunners to land the centre, but when he re-signed long-term with the Lightning before July 1st, it sort of shocked the hockey world. Most Leafs fans were dreaming of a world where Stamkos and Matthews were the team's one-two punch up the middle, but I for one think it's beneficial that the Leafs didn't come to terms with Stamkos. Stamkos' potential contract would have handcuffed the Leafs in the future, when it was time to sign their top prospects. According to multiple media sources, Toronto management tabled an eight-year deal worth an average of $10.5 million per season. Now that the team will have to move forward without Stamkos in the fold, this will give them an opportunity to target cheaper free agents in the future, and likely have the chance to re-sign Marner, Nylander and others once they are due for a raise and a long-term contracts.

The Leafs did make some moves this offseason, and the biggest of them all came when they upgraded in goal when they signed Frederik Andersen and Jhonas Enroth. The signing are a massive improvement on Jonathan Bernier (traded to the Anaheim Ducks) and Garret Sparks (will be the team's third goaltender this season). Andersen alone, signed a five-year-deal with the club and has 77 wins in 125 games in his three year NHL career. That's a winning percentage of 61 per cent. Enroth is on a one-year-contract and will be the team's backup this year. Even though he's a backup, Enroth is no slouch as he posted a .922 save percentage and a 2.17 goals against average last season with the Los Angeles Kings. The combination of Andersen and Enroth will help the team remain in a lot more games this season.

The addition of defenseman Nikita Zaitsev looks like it should be an upgrade, as he was one of the more coveted free agents coming out of the Kontinental Hockey League. Matt Martin was also picked up by the Leafs to bolster and add more grit to the club's young bottom-six. Martin led the league in hits every year since the 2011-12 season. Kerby Rychel was acquired from the Columbus Blue Jackets after the draft, and he could also slot into a bottom-six role. All in all, the Leafs success this season will be up to their younger players and how they perform. No doubt they will be an improved team as their offseason says so, but I just don't think they are ready to improve too drastically this season.

 

DEPTH CHART

Offence

#21 James Van Riemsdyk - #34 Auston Matthews - #47 Leo Komarov

#39 William Nylander- #43 Nazem Kadri - #19 Joffrey Lupul

#18 Milan Michalek - #42 Tyler Bozak - #93 Mitch Marner

#-- Matt Martin - #24 Peter Holland - #11 Zach Hyman

-------------------------------------------

#38 Colin Greening - #56 Byron Froese - #41 Nikita Soshnikov

#-- Kerby Rychel - #23 Brooks Laich - #37 Kasperi Kapanen

-----------------------------------------

Defence

#2 Matt Hunwick - #44 Morgan Reilly

#51 Jake Gardiner - #-- Nikita Zaitsev

#52 Martin Marincin - #46 Roman Polak

-----------------------------------------

#20 Frank Corrado - #8 Connor Carrick

#12 Stephane Robidas - #55 Viktor Loov

-----------------------------------------

Goaltending

#-- Frederik Andersen - #-- Jhonas Enroth - #31 Garret Sparks

 

Toronto Maple Leafs - 2016-17 Projected Statistics

Auston Matthews 82GP 22G-35A-57Pts

Nazem Kadri 81GP 25G-31A-56Pts

Morgan Reilly 82GP 10G-36A-46Pts

James Van Riemsdyk 73GP 27G-18A-45Pts

Willian Nylander 77GP 18G-25A-43Pts

Mitch Marner 75GP 17G-23A-40Pts

Leo Komarov 78GP 15G-25A-40Pts

Tyler Bozak 67GP 12G-22A-34Pts

Jake Gardiner 79GP 5G-27A-32Pts

Peter Holland 80GP 10G-21A-31Pts

Zach Hyman 70GP 9G-18A-28Pts

Nikita Soshnikov 55GP 13G-13A-26Pts

Milan Michalek 60GP 11G-15A-26Pts

Joffrey Lupul 36GP 10G-15A-25Pts

Connor Brown 63GP 4G-15-19Pts

Colin Greening 64GP 7G-10A-17Pts

Connor Carrick 70GP 1G-12A-13Pts

Kerby Rychel 47GP 8G-5A-13Pts

Matt Martin 82GP 5G-6A-11Pts

Brooks Laich 58GP 3G-7A-10Pts

Kasperi Kapanen 39GP 6G-4A-10Pts

Matt Hunwick 75GP 3G-5A-8Pts

Frank Corrado 49GP 0G-8A-8Pts

Roman Polak 81GP 1G-6A-7Pts

Goaltending Statistics

(*In order - Projected Games Played, Projected Wins, Shutouts, GAA, and Save Percentage)

Frederick Andersen 60GP - 26W- 4 S/O - 2.30 GAA - 915 SV%

Jhonas Enroth 18GP - 8W -2 S/O - 2.40 GAA - .909 SV%

Garret Sparks 5GP - 2W - 0S/O -2.68GAA - .905SV%

Overall record

36 Wins - 75 Points

 

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